Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Sometimes we all think we're Kreskin. Here's where CPF prognosticators get proven right or wrong.

Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Edgy MD » Thu Feb 19, 2015 4:32 pm

User avatar
Edgy MD
Rube Walker — Pitching Coach, 1968–1981

Posts: 90746
Joined: Tue Nov 05, 2002 2:03 pm
Location: Baltimore
Lucas Duda found himself last year. Does he have what it takes to keep himself? To find more of himself. For he is a big man, capable of punishing entire rooms full of people. Foolish people. They don't pull people's arms out of their sockets when they lose. Duda is known to do that.



Lucas Duda... what's his 2015 looking like?
I'll be your patron saint of heartbreak.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby themetfairy » Thu Feb 19, 2015 4:49 pm

User avatar
themetfairy
Lady Met -- Mascot, 1964-present

Posts: 18056
Joined: Sun Nov 25, 2007 12:12 pm
It'll be a big year for the big guy.

Image
In running, it doesn't matter whether you come in first, in the middle of the pack, or last. You can say, "I have finished." There is a lot of satisfaction in that - Fred Lebow

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby smg58 » Thu Feb 19, 2015 6:13 pm

User avatar
smg58
164) Ray Knight, 3B, 1B, 2B, 1984-1986

Posts: 3804
Joined: Tue Jun 07, 2005 8:37 am
Location: Ronkonkoma
I'll set last year's performance as the median expectation for this year: 30 hr, 92 rbi, .253/.349/.481.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby MFS62 » Thu Feb 19, 2015 7:00 pm

User avatar
MFS62
Brian Cole, Outfield Prospect, 1978-2001

Posts: 21822
Joined: Sun Jun 05, 2005 3:59 pm
Location: Connecticut
He'll start to figure out left handers and get more at bats this season.
More at bats = more production:
.272-34-106


Later
I'm smarter than you think you are.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr » Thu Feb 19, 2015 7:43 pm

User avatar
LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
Harold W. O'Shaughnessy, Senior VP and Treasurer

Posts: 22976
Joined: Wed Dec 31, 1969 7:00 pm
Location: Boogie Down
He won't figure out left-handers, because he's, like, 30ish, and this is who our Boo is.

But he'll do the rest of what he does pretty damn well, and Cuddyer will play more against lefties than Soupy did, and the Duda concentrate will be a potent potable:

146 G, 550 PA, 72 R, 27 HR, 90 RBI, .283/.365/.484, 56 XBH
"Classic rock NEVER takes the weekend off."

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Benjamin Grimm » Fri Feb 20, 2015 9:46 am

User avatar
Benjamin Grimm
Ralph Kiner
Hall of Famer/Broadcaster

Posts: 42462
Joined: Tue Nov 05, 2002 7:49 am
Location: The Baxter Building
Of course I hope he builds on his 2014 for a better 2015, but I fear that last year was Lucas' peak and I expect he'll backslide, but hopefully not too much. I'll say 25 homers, 85 rbi.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby John Cougar Lunchbucket » Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:27 am

User avatar
John Cougar Lunchbucket
Eddie Yost, 3B Coach 1968-1975

Posts: 31026
Joined: Wed Sep 13, 2006 7:47 pm
What do you think, Grandy is the only guy who's gonna benefit from the fences moving in?

FORTY homers, ONE HUNDRED-SEVENTEEN RBI, TWO-NINETY-TWO SLASH THREE SIXTY SLASH FIVE HUNDRED SEVEN

you read it here first.
Let me tell you something: I have a big set of balls.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Lefty Specialist » Fri Feb 20, 2015 4:03 pm

User avatar
Lefty Specialist
71) Skip Lockwood, RP, 1975-1979

Posts: 5655
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2010 7:58 am
Location: Location, Location.
Image

25/74/.250
Only in today's America can policy be based on the notion that the rich have too little and the poor have too much.

Resistance is not futile. https://www.indivisibleguide.com/indivisible-action

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Ashie62 » Fri Feb 20, 2015 8:01 pm

User avatar
Ashie62
Josh Lewin, Radio Broadcaster since 2012

Posts: 15391
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 6:39 pm
Location: Parsippany, NJ
20-80

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Ceetar » Sat Feb 21, 2015 10:03 am

User avatar
Ceetar
Jane Jarvis, Organist, 1964-1979

Posts: 20771
Joined: Wed Dec 31, 1969 7:00 pm
Location: Moving target: Check Big Apple Brews
I think he'll split the difference between 2013 and 2014 which were both good years.

.255/.355/.455 130 wRC+ 26 HR. 2 SB. 155 games. (yes he'll sit against some lefties but he's too good not to at least PH)

But that's still very good. He was the third best NL First baseman by wRC+ last year behind Rizzo and Freeman. With some early Mets success keeping the casual fan in NY more focused, he'll garner more All-Star votes and be a legitimate first time All-Star.
"Look, would it save you a lot of time if I just gave up and went mad now?"

-Ceetar, the Optimistic Mets Fan

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Nymr83 » Sun Feb 22, 2015 4:31 pm

User avatar
Nymr83
Bob Murphy, Voice of the Mets, 1962-2003

Posts: 14447
Joined: Sat Jun 04, 2005 2:18 pm
last year .253/.349/.481 in 596 PA. including a horrific .180/.264/.252 against lefties in 125 PAs

This year the Mets wisen up and play him less against lefties, resulting in 550 plate appearences (he loses ~75 against lefties as he never starts against them and then picks up about 30 more as he is never benched against a righty) this results in a .260/.360/.500 overall line
Well, I've got nothing against the bunt, in its place. But most of the time that place is the bottom of a long-forgotten closet. -Earl Weaver

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby d'Kong76 » Mon Feb 23, 2015 1:45 pm

User avatar
d'Kong76
David Arthur Kingman, 1B-OF-3B 1975-1977, 1981-1983

Posts: 19246
Joined: Tue May 31, 2005 7:56 pm
Location: Glutenville, NY
Studly 2015, will be near the top in several NL
list categories for much of the year.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Centerfield » Mon Feb 23, 2015 3:01 pm

User avatar
Centerfield
4) Jerry Koosman, SP, RP, 1967-1978

Posts: 9999
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 10:37 am
I think he regresses a bit.

.245/.311/.485

26 HR's. 88 RBI.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Vic Sage » Mon Feb 23, 2015 5:46 pm

User avatar
Vic Sage
Tim Leary, failed blue-chip prospect and LSD enthusiast

Posts: 14710
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 9:05 am
Location: Hub City, CA
.250/25hr/85rbi, eventually benched against LHP
"It's not the answers that matter, it's the questions."

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Ashie62 » Tue Feb 24, 2015 10:57 pm

User avatar
Ashie62
Josh Lewin, Radio Broadcaster since 2012

Posts: 15391
Joined: Thu Aug 04, 2005 6:39 pm
Location: Parsippany, NJ
Duda taking it easy with an injury to the dreaded oblique.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Edgy MD » Wed Feb 25, 2015 7:31 am

User avatar
Edgy MD
Rube Walker — Pitching Coach, 1968–1981

Posts: 90746
Joined: Tue Nov 05, 2002 2:03 pm
Location: Baltimore
My sources keep telling me it's the intercostal.
I'll be your patron saint of heartbreak.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby dgwphotography » Wed Feb 25, 2015 9:38 am

User avatar
dgwphotography
Posts: 6661
Joined: Thu Jun 02, 2005 2:07 pm
Similar to last year, but up a notch:

.250 35 HR 105 RBI .500 SLG
A bad day behind the lens is still better than a good day behind a desk

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Edgy MD » Wed Mar 04, 2015 12:25 pm

User avatar
Edgy MD
Rube Walker — Pitching Coach, 1968–1981

Posts: 90746
Joined: Tue Nov 05, 2002 2:03 pm
Location: Baltimore
Got offseason coaching from Keith Hernandez, according to Hot Stove. Unfortunately, this coaching was reportedly limited to talks, rather than workouts, but hopefully there'll be some followup this spring.

I'd kind of like to see Rusty Staub coaching someone like Lucas.
I'll be your patron saint of heartbreak.

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby Benjamin Grimm » Wed Mar 04, 2015 1:26 pm

User avatar
Benjamin Grimm
Ralph Kiner
Hall of Famer/Broadcaster

Posts: 42462
Joined: Tue Nov 05, 2002 7:49 am
Location: The Baxter Building
Duda, maybe, but not Daniel Murphy. He wouldn't approve the "lifestyle".

Re: Forecasts for Fifteen: Lucas Duda

Postby batmagadanleadoff » Mon May 25, 2015 2:10 pm

User avatar
batmagadanleadoff
J.P. Ricciardi. Special Assistant to the GM

Posts: 15101
Joined: Tue Apr 08, 2008 6:47 pm
St. Looey Cards say Duda'a a different hitter this season.

excerpt:

NEW YORK • One of the challenges that faced the New York Mets entering Thursday afternoon's game against the Cardinals was scouting lefty Jaime Garcia. They weren’t lacking video or data about the Cardinals’ data. Just recent video and data.

“Jason Bay kills him,” manager Terry Collins told reporters.

He mentioned another player as well, and neither of them had played for the Mets since 2012. Garcia’s absence from the game — nearly a year between starts — and his chronic shoulder soreness over the previous three seasons left the Mets wondering if Past Jaime was any sort of preparation for Present Jaime. The Cardinals ended up in the same dilemma with Lucas Duda.

They looked for Past Duda.

They got a long look at Present Duda.

“Right now, he’s not the same hitter,” manager Mike Matheny said.

Duda hit two home runs in the Mets’ 5-0 victory against the Cardinals. The win sent the Cardinals back to Missouri for a series against Kansas City after a four-game split in Queens. The Cardinals managed little (one run) in Matt Harvey’s start Monday night and they managed less (zero runs) against Jacob deGrom on Thursday. In between, they feasted for 19 runs and two routs of the Mets. Duda delivered four of the five runs the Mets scored on Thursday, and both of his home runs came against lefthanded pitchers.

Duda, who hit 30 homers last season, was lost against lefties in 2014. He hit .180 with a .264 on-base percentage and a .252 slugging percentage. He had as many home runs on Thursday on two pitches from lefties than he had in 111 at-bats last summer against lefties. Duda struck out 41 times in those 111 at-bats. He was the reason Ol’ Abner invented LOOGYs. This past offseason, Duda worked his hands raw in the cage to improve his swing and his pitch recognition against lefthanded pitching. He got some tips from Keith Hernandez, as The Daily News reported this morning, and he got lots of time from hitting coach Kevin Long*.

* Same hitting coach, you might recall, that had such a profound effect on John “J-Rod” Rodriguez that he slingshot to the majors briefly and helped the Cardinals in 2005-06.

“Essentially, just trying to stay short, and take what they give you,” Duda said.


http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball ... cd595.html


Return to Predictions Archives

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest